duguolelianxuliangniandedimiqihou，2014nianhongzhangzhengtixiaoshouxingshihaozhuan，youqishizaixiaopenjinghongzhangpinzhongqiaokaijiatingxiaofeishichangdamenhou，quanniandezouhuoliangyizhibiaoxianwending。mianduimashangdaolaide2015nianxiaoshichang，hongzhangyexianluchuqiangjingdexiaoshoushitou，zaishangshizongliangjianshaodeqingkuangxia，dabufenshengchanqiyeduinianxiaoxingqingpubiankanhao，junbiaoshixiaoshouyalibuda，gaopinzhichanpinshoujiayeyouwangjinyibushangzhang。
数量缩减形势乐观
《zhongguohuahuibao》nianxiaohuashangshiliangdiaochashujuxianshi，2015nianxiaoqijian，hongzhanggongyingzongliangzai450wanpenzhi500wanpenzhijian，tongbimingxiansuojian。dancongmuqianguoneihongzhangshengchanqiyedequanniantouchanqingkuanglaikan，zongliangbingmeiyoujianshao，shengchanshangbuzaijiangxiaoshouzhongxindingweizainianxiaoshichang，ershizhuanxiangquanniananjihuazhuyuegongying。beijingcaibinghuayuanyiyouxiangongsizongjingliyuhaobingjieshaoshuo：“xianzaishengchanshangdexiaoshouzhongxindoufangzairichangzouhuoshang，chanpinzhuyuegongying，xiaoshouyalibuda，pingshishoujiabubinianxiaoqijiandi，meibiyaozaiqujinianxiaodedumuqiao。nianxiaoqijiandechengpinhuadoushiqiyeanzhaojihuashangshi，meiyoukeyizengjia。”
nianxiaoshangshiliangjianshao，rangshengchanqiyeganjuexiaoshouyalibuda。zaijizhediaochaguochengzhongjiuyoubushaoqiyebiaoshi，nianxiaogongyingdechengpinhuadabufendouyi“zhaohaolexiajia”，jinnianbuhuichuxianxiaoshoufalishenzhizhixiaodeqingkuang。congmuqianxingshilaikan，2015nianxiaojituanxiaofeiliangbuhuizengjia，shengchanqiyeyezaoyirenshidaozheiyidian，jiangmuguangtoufangzaijiatingxiaofeiquntishang。zainianxiaodazhanzhichu，yujihongzhangshangshilianghuijizhong;dansuizhexiaoshougaofengdedaolai，nianxiaozhongqiyalihuanjie;houqibupaichuyixiegaopinzhihuoyuanjiangchuxianquehuoxianxiang。shanxishengmiaomufanyuzhongxinfuzhurenwenpingrenwei：“zainianxiaochuqi，changjiagonghuohuiyouyigeduanzandejizhongqi，youyuzongliangbuda，henkuaijiunengxiaohuadiao，yinci2015nianxiaodexingshishibijiaoleguande。”
销售价格有望上扬
congpinzhonglaikan，2014nianxiaoshichangdezhulilaopinzhong‘huoyan’yishiqu“bazhu”diwei，querdaizhideshitouchanliangxunsukuozhangde‘telunsa’，congbenbaonianxiaodiaochasuodechudeshujubunanfaxian，nianxiaoqijiantuichu‘telunsa’deqiyezhanjulejuedaduoshu。tongyangshilaopinzhongde‘alabama’biaoxianbijiaopingwen，17limipenjingchanpinzhanyoulvjiaogao。‘hongguowang’、‘menghuan’、‘huangguan’dengpinzhongsuozhanbilibuhuihenda，yincixiaoshoujiagehuibijiaolixiang。suizherenzhidudezhubutigao，‘hongyingjia’、‘hongchun’dengxinpinzhongyehuizai2015nianxiaoshichangshangzhanlutoujiao。zaiguigefangmian，15limihe17limipenjingjiangchengweizhuliu，yujizheiliangzhongguigedechanpinzhanshangshizongliangde85%yishang，zheiyeyushizheshangshiliangjiaoshaode19limijiyishangdedapenjingchanpinjiangchengweijingxiaoshangzhengqiangdemubiao。
hongzhangnianxiaoqijiandeshoujiashidajiaguanzhudezhongdian。muqianhongzhangzouliang、shoujiajunbiaoxianpingwen，yujinianxiaoqijianjiagebuhuiyoudafudutisheng，danbirichangshoujiarenghuiyou3yuanzuoyoudeshangyang。shanxihuanmeiyuanlinlvhuagongchengyouxiangongsizongjingliyangpeilinyuji：“2015nianxiaoqijian，hongzhangxiaoshouxingshiyinggaibucuo。zaizheigeqiantixia，danpenshoujiayou2yuandezhangfuyinggaibuchengwenti，ergaopinzhihuoyuandeshoujiazhangfukenenghuigengda。”meiniannianxiaoqijian，gaopinzhihuoyuandoubijiaoshao，yuji2015nianxiaotongyanghuichuxianquehuoxianxiang，yincigaopinzhihuoyuanyidanshangshi，jiuhuichengweijingxiaoshangzhengqiangde“xiangbobo”。
